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View Full Version : US jobs report: Unemployment falls to 3.9%



Teh One Who Knocks
05-04-2018, 01:12 PM
By Leia Klingel | FOXBusiness


https://i.imgur.com/8nq8fHW.jpg

Job growth accelerated in April, cutting the nation's jobless rate as U.S. employers added 164,000 jobs compared to the revised 135,000 in March.

April's reading fell short of analysts’ expectations for 192,000 jobs to be created in the month. March's 135,000 was an upward revision compared to the intial reading for 103,000 jobs.

"This jobs report is truly a mixed bag. It is inevitable that attention will gravitate toward the decline in the unemployment rate to 3.9%, breaking out of the pattern of having held at 4.1% for six straight months. We can continue to head lower from here if we see robust hiring in the months ahead," said Mark Hamrick, Bankrate.com's senior economic analyst.

For the April report, the unemployment rate came in at 3.9%, down from the prior month’s 4.1%, lower than expectations. Prior to April, the unemployment rate was at 4.1% for six consecutive months.

April’s 3.9% is a signal of an increasingly competitive job market, and the lowest reading since 2000.

Worker pay was unchanged, up 2.6% over the past 12 months.

The jobs market is one of the factors that the Fed monitors to determine when interest rate hikes are necessary.

“While the job numbers came in below expectations, the reality is that the economy is still on relatively solid ground, and the labor market is quite strong. This will likely not change the outcome of the Fed meeting in June, as layoffs are few, the Fed is now closer to its inflation target of 2% than it has been in quite some time, and raising interest rates is still necessary,” said Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group.

Rick expects two more rate hikes this year, for three total rate hikes.

It is possible that there will be some immediate reaction from Fed members, on Friday, with several Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak.

New York Fed President William Dudley will speak at 12:45 p.m. ET in New York, San Francisco Fed President John Williams will appear at a monetary policy conference at the Stanford University’s Hoover Institution at 3 p.m. ET, while Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Randal Quarles will speak at the same conference at 5:30 p.m. ET.

In addition, at that conference Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Esther George will participate in a panel discussion.

Teh One Who Knocks
05-04-2018, 01:12 PM
Now I wonder how the media can spin this so that Obama gets credit for it :-k

Goofy
05-04-2018, 01:20 PM
Its all Trumps fault [-(

PorkChopSandwiches
05-04-2018, 03:24 PM
He's ruining the country

Muddy
05-04-2018, 05:51 PM
Now I wonder how the media can spin this so that Obama gets credit for it :-k

Already happening.. check Drudge..

deebakes
05-04-2018, 11:04 PM
:obama:

RBP
05-05-2018, 03:58 AM
I will say the same thing I said under the last joker, the numbers are bullshit because the economy has shifted.

https://i.imgur.com/TH7bHfr.png

The number of people not in the labor force continues to grow. U-6 is historically a better measure, and that is closer to 8%. But U-6 has also become less relevant by the massive growth of "gig economy" workers is not accounted for anywhere.

So the Uber driver who sleeps in his car and barely stays afloat, for example, is completely unaccounted for.

Data for the rabbit hole if you choose:

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate-3306198
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

Teh One Who Knocks
05-05-2018, 11:29 AM
I will say the same thing I said under the last joker, the numbers are bullshit because the economy has shifted.

https://i.imgur.com/TH7bHfr.png

The number of people not in the labor force continues to grow. U-6 is historically a better measure, and that is closer to 8%. But U-6 has also become less relevant by the massive growth of "gig economy" workers is not accounted for anywhere.

So the Uber driver who sleeps in his car and barely stays afloat, for example, is completely unaccounted for.

Data for the rabbit hole if you choose:

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate-3306198
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

While true, and I have posted the U6 numbers before when Barry was touting the fact that unemployment was going down, at least the numbers released yesterday are comparing apples to apples. No one wants to talk about the elephant in the room though which is the shrinking amount of people in the workforce. However, with some welfare reforms and benefit reforms, that could change sooner rather than later.